The Miami Heat are 7.5-point underdogs heading into a potentially-deciding Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The series is tied 3-3. The matchup has an over/under of 204.5 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Monday, May 29, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: TNT
Favorite Spread Over/Under
Celtics -7.5 204.5

Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • In 75 of 82 games this season, Boston and its opponents have scored more than 204.5 points.
  • Boston's outings this year have an average total of 229.4, 24.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • So far this season, the Celtics have compiled a 45-37-0 record against the spread.
  • Boston has been the favorite in 73 games this season and won 52 (71.2%) of those contests.
  • Boston has a record of 26-11, a 70.3% win rate, when it's favored by -300 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Celtics, based on the moneyline, is 75%.

Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has played 66 games this season that finished with a point total over 204.5 points.
  • The average over/under for Miami's outings this season is 219.3, 14.8 more points than this game's total.
  • Miami has a 30-52-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Heat have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (30.4%) in those games.
  • Miami has not won as an underdog of +240 or more on the moneyline this season in two games with those odds or longer.
  • Miami has an implied victory probability of 29.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Celtics vs Heat Additional Info

Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 204.5 % of Games Over 204.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Celtics 75 91.5% 117.9 227.4 111.4 221.2 227.8
Heat 66 80.5% 109.5 227.4 109.8 221.2 219.6

Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • The Celtics are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
  • In their past 10 games, the Celtics have gone over the total five times.
  • Against the spread, Boston has performed better at home, covering 23 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
  • The 117.9 points per game the Celtics average are 8.1 more points than the Heat give up (109.8).
  • When Boston totals more than 109.8 points, it is 40-21 against the spread and 49-12 overall.

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Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami has gone 6-4 in its last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
  • In their past 10 contests, the Heat have hit the over five times.
  • Against the spread, Miami has had better results away (16-25-0) than at home (14-27-0).
  • The Heat put up an average of 109.5 points per game, only 1.9 fewer points than the 111.4 the Celtics allow to opponents.
  • Miami is 17-17 against the spread and 26-8 overall when it scores more than 111.4 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Splits

Celtics and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 7.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Celtics 45-37 18-20 43-39
Heat 30-52 3-2 41-41

Celtics vs. Heat Point Insights

Celtics Heat
117.9
Points Scored (PG)
 109.5
4
NBA Rank (PPG)
 30
40-21
ATS Record Scoring AVG+
 17-17
49-12
Overall Record Scoring AVG+
 26-8
111.4
Points Allowed (PG)
 109.8
4
NBA Rank (PAPG)
 2
28-8
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
 26-39
31-5
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
 39-26

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