Remnants of Nestor pushing through the area quickly

Published: Oct. 17, 2019 at 3:56 PM EDT
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The remnant low of Nestor, no longer a named storm, is pushing through the East quickly this morning. The consistent rain will last until noon, however areas closer to Wilmington will see the drying trend start even earlier. The adjusted track and the fast moving nature of the low has reduced impacts across the area.

Winds will blow in from the southeast through the A.M. hours, but once we see the low move over the Albemarle Sound, the tornado threat along the coast will start to drop significantly. In fact, once the winds start to shift to the north, the tornado threat will drop to zero. Winds will stay breezy, but wind speeds will gradually drop through the day. High water levels will be present along the coast through the afternoon.

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Nestor has been downgraded to a post-tropical cyclone, a downgrade that was expected but will have little to no impact on the forecast here in eastern Carolina.

The post-tropical low still has sustained winds of 40 mph and is moving northeastward at 20-25 mph. The heavier rain bands will arrive after midnight tonight, but a few of the outer (and lighter) rain bands have already started to extend into the area. Rainfall totals by Sunday night will range between 1" to 3" for most, while a few communities near the coast register up to 4".

Winds will blow out of the southeast to start the day with speeds ranging between 25 to 35 mph along the coast and 15 to 25 mph for inland locations. Gusts along the coast could reach 45 mph while inland area gusts will stay at or below 35 mph. Once the low starts to head towards Nags Head, winds will shift out of the northwest at 10 to 20 mph for inland areas and 15 to 25 mph along the beaches.

Tornadoes will be possible through the first half of the day as the center of Nestor moves over the area. Once the system pulls away from the Northern Outer Banks, the tornado threat will dissipate.

Gale warnings and Wind Advisories have been issued for coastal communities starting tonight and lasting through at least noon Sunday.

Once this system becomes Tropical Storm Nestor, it is forecast to continue moving northeast and make landfall along the Florida panhandle where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect.

The center is expected to reach land early Saturday morning. The storm is expected to have winds near 50 mph when it moves onshore. Once onshore, the system is forecast to lose its tropical characteristics, but take rainy and windy weather through the Southeastern US, including eastern NC.

The remnants of this system are likely to bring rainy and breezy weather to our area late Saturday night and Sunday. Damaging winds are not expected here at this time.

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