Tropical Depression 8 approaches the coast Tuesday...
Monday and Tuesday
Tropical Depression 8 will approach NC from the east-southeast, leading to some heavy showers, gusty winds, high surf and a potential for minor beach erosion along the coast on Tuesday. The system may become Tropical Storm Hermine (pronounced "her-meen") by Monday evening, making it the eighth named storm of 2016. If it does indeed become a tropical storm, sustained wind speeds around the center of the storm should stay below 50 mph. Rainfall totals along the coast could range between 1-2+ inches while inland areas will see about .5 to 1 inch during the two day period. Coastal sustained winds will range between 20 to 30 mph with gusts potentially reaching up to 45 mph. Surf levels will be at 5 to 10 feet.
Highs on both days will reach the mid to upper 80s. Overnight lows will dip down into the low 70s. Humidity levels will stay high due to the tropical system.
Skies will gradually clear through the day as the tropical system exits the area, taking our rain chances with it. Temps will be in the upper 80s with overnight lows in the low 70s. Humidity levels will stay consistent, keeping muggy air over the east through the first half of the week.
Thursday, Friday & The Weekend
After a muggy and soggy start to the week, a cold front will finally cross the area Thursday. While this front will bring a pretty decent shot of rain to the region, the dry air behind the front will help keep the weekend mostly sunny and mild. However, we'll be watching the track of Tropical Depression 9 closely. The current track is a good 100 miles off the Crystal Coast on Friday and headed further out to sea on Saturday. The depression will likely be a tropical storm as it tracks offshore of the southeast coast. The track could shift closer to our coast if the cold front does not completely clear the Outer Banks. We'll be keeping a close eye on it.
Highs will be dropping into the mid 80s with overnight lows in the mid to low 60s. Dew points will also take a dive after the front passes, making Friday, Saturday and Sunday very comfortable, so long as the Depression stays clear of the coast.
Tropical Depression 8 formed just to the west of Bermuda Sunday afternoon and is expected to become Tropical Storm Hermine (pronounced her-meen) by Tuesday morning. The storm will approach the NC coastline overnight Monday into Tuesday and will linger right offshore before turning northeast and exiting the area Wednesday morning. The storm, whether or not it is named, could dump between 1" to 3" of rain from Monday to Wednesday with sustained winds blowing at 20 to 30 mph. High surf (5-8 feet) will lead to high rip currents and possible beach erosion along the Outer Banks and Crystal Coast.
Tropical Depression 9 finally formed early Sunday evening and will slowly gain strength as it passes by the southern tip of Florida and continues into the Gulf of Mexico on Monday. It will stay in the Gulf through Tuesday before turning northeast by Wednesday and moving over northern Florida. The official track moves the storm off the coast of Florida Thursday and well offshore of North Carolina on Friday as a tropical storm. The track continues well out to sea on Saturday. The current track would keep most of the impacts off the coast, but the storm will have to be watched closely in case the track shifts closer to the Crystal Coast.
Gaston has strengthened into a category 3 hurricane, making it the first major hurricane of the 2016 season. Gaston had winds of 115 mph and was moving to the northeast on Monday morning. The storm is expected to continue to work its way northeastward over the deep Atlantic while weakening through the week.
Monday: Scattered, afternoon showers. Highs in the mid 80s with winds out of the north at 5 to 10 mph. Rain chance: 40%.
Monday Night: Some coastal showers with a few sweeping across inland communities. Lows will be in the low 70s with winds at 10 to 20 mph. Rain chance: 30%
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with scattered showers, especially along the coast. Winds will be out of the northeast at 10 to 20 inland, 20 to 35+ along the coast. Rain chance: 50%.
*Tropical Storm Watch from Oregon Inlet to Cape Lookout*
Winds will blow out of the northeast at 10 to 20 knots on Monday. Offshore swells will range from 3 to 5 feet to start the day before reaching 5 to 8 feet by the afternoon. Waves heights will be at 1 to 2 feet on the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.
Outer Banks Crystal Coast
Air Temp: 86 85
Water Temp: 79 81
Waves: 3-5 Ft. 3-5 Ft.
Rip Risk: High High
Winds: NE 10-15 mph Ne 10-15 mph
|High Tide (Atlantic Beach)||6:23 am|
|Low Tide||12:39 pm|
|High Tide||6:57 pm|
|High Tide (Outer Banks)||5:36 am|
|Low Tide||11:38 am|
|High Tide||6:10 pm|