It will be warm but temperatures will remain a bit below normal across eastern Carolina on Thursday. Afternoon highs will reach the middle 80s in most locations with moderate humidity levels. We should see partly cloudy skies throughout the day, with a stray shower possible.
The Bermuda Ridge will build westward into eastern Carolina by Friday and the weekend. The ridge will push increasing moisture back into the area as a moist southeast to southerly flow develops. Scattered showers should develop by Friday afternoon or evening and continue intermittently through the weekend. The slow-moving showers and high moisture content of the air will produce locally heavy downpours, with localized flooding possible. Temperatures will remain in the muggy, middle 80s Friday through Sunday.
As of Thursday morning, a tropical wave deep in the Atlantic has a 60% chance of becoming a named storm within the next 5 days. The system will be in the vicinity of Puerto Rico by early Sunday. There is a great deal of uncertainty in the track and intensity beyond the upcoming weekend.
Thursday: Partly cloudy and warm with a slim chance of a shower during the afternoon. Highs in the middle 80s. Southeast winds at 4 to 8 mph. Rain chance: 10%.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy and muggy. Lows near 70 degrees. Southeast winds at 2 to 5 mph.
Friday: Warm & muggy with showers and storms likely by the afternoon hours. Locally heavy downpours will be possible. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s with the rain chance at 60%. Winds: East 5 to 10 mph.
Winds will blow from the east at 5 to 12 knots Thursday through Friday. Offshore wave heights will run 2 to 4 feet. Swells will run around 1 foot on the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.
Skies will be mostly sunny on Thursday, with breezes from the east at 5 to 12 mph.