The NOAA says we can still expect above normal tropical activity in the months to come.
The NOAA updated forecast calls for 14 to 20 named storms; 8 to 12 hurricanes; & 4 to 6 major hurricanes. These numbers are slightly lower than their previous forecast, but still well above the seasonable average of 11 named storms.
La Nina conditions have developed as expected. La Nina creates lighter winds aloft over the tropical Atlantic waters. This increases the chances of storm development, especially as we head into August and September.
So far there have been three named storms: Alex. Bonnie, and Colin. Alex struck northeastern Mexico on June 30th with winds of 105 mph. Bonnie followed with a landfall just south of Miami on July 23rd with winds of 40 mph. Colin may brush Bermuda this weekend, but should stay well away from the US.
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