An area of low pressure will move off the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico on Friday. This storm will have a moderate (30%) chance of strengthening into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next 48 hours. Although not expected to become a powerful storm, plenty of rain will move up the east coast this weekend.
Meanwhile, Erin is a weak tropical storm. The forecast track eventually hooks Erin to the northwest then north and away from the United States' coast.
The storm's maximum sustained winds Saturday were at 40 mph.
Erin was centered about 800 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, or about 3,000 miles off the North Carolina coast. The storm was moving west-northwest near 13 mph. The U.S. National Hurricane Center says that general motion is expected to continue with little change in strength over the next 5 days.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami said Thursday night that the storm's maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph.
There are no watches or warnings in effect. An earlier warning for the Cape Verde Islands has been canceled.
The storm is centered just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and is moving west-northwest at 15 mph. The storm is about 3400 miles ESE of the Carolina coastline. Forecasters expect the storm to continue in that general direction over the next few days.
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After several weeks of quiet conditions, we may be tracking two tropical storms before the end of the week.
Tropical Storm Erin was located at 14.5 N; 25.6 S at 5:00 am Thursday morning. That put the storm about 3700 miles off our coastline, or just south of the Cape Verde Islands with sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm is forecast to move westward for the next 4 to 5 days while never reaching hurricane strength.
An area of low pressure will be moving from the western Caribbean Sea into the Gulf of Mexico late Thursday into Friday. This area will likely strengthen into a tropical depression sometime Thursday. The storm is expected to remain fairly weak as it approaches the northern Gulf Coast Friday night. This storm may eventually reach tropical storm strength as well. After moving onshore Friday night the remnant low will likely track up the east coast, bringing a good shot of rain to eastern Carolina on Saturday.
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