Hurricane Team Now Predicting Average Season

Hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University have scaled back their prediction for the Atlantic and are now calling for an average season with 12 named storms, including six hurricanes, two of them major.

In December, researchers William Gray and Phil Klotzbach predicted an above-average season with 14 named storms with seven hurricanes -- three major.

Gray said Tuesday the forecast was dialed down because of improved chances of El Nino conditions, which suppress hurricane formation.

This is Gray's 26th year of forecasting hurricanes. His predictions are watched closely by emergency responders and others, but many say long-range forecasts have little practical value beyond focusing public attention on the dangers.

The season runs June 1-Nov. 30.

(Copyright 2009 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)


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  • by Anonymous on Apr 21, 2009 at 11:50 AM
    i wish they would stop making predictions they dont know no more than i know
  • by T Location: Washington on Apr 7, 2009 at 01:17 PM
    Snake oil salesman, or whatever your name is, aren't you going to blame the hurricanes on PRESIDENT Obama? You blame everything else on him. My bath water is not hot enough, blame Pres. Obama, my car has a flat tire, blame Pres. Obama. You see, the younger, more liberal generation is now here, so get used to it.
  • by Kay Location: Grimesland on Apr 7, 2009 at 11:22 AM
    I sure hope gas prices will go down now!
  • by Obama Snake Oil Co Location: Washington on Apr 7, 2009 at 11:05 AM
    When ever anyone can tell me they can predict the weather months in advance I tell them I ain't buying the bridge they will throw in for free if I buy into it. Last years "was supposed" to be a really big hurrican season....then they downgraded it...what? This is why I don't but the theory of global warming. Having a lot of math education, when you take time of the year, El Nino, La Nino, season, cloud cover, jet stream, solar flares, rain vs dry in Africa...how do they do that?
  • by Anonymous on Apr 7, 2009 at 08:51 AM
    Bottom line, they can't predit these things. Gas should go down, no threat to the pipline. I hope they can stop the lies and do what is right.
  • by Anonymous Location: greenville on Apr 7, 2009 at 08:34 AM
    so does this mean gas prices will go back down since their reason for it going up was to prepare for losses due to hurricanes?
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