A hurricane forecast pioneer says this year's storm season will be an active one.

Dr. William Gray has just released his forecast for the 2010 hurricane season and it is not good news.

Gray's forecast says this year's hurricane season will produce 15 named storms, four of those will be major hurricanes. They says due to a "dying" El Nino, tropical activity is expected to be about 60% above normal. Last year it was 35% below normal.

Researchers say there's a 45 percent chance of a hurricane hitting the East Coast, including Florida. The historical probably is 31 percent.

Nine named storms developed last season. Three became hurricanes, and none came ashore in the U.S.

Gray is Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.

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  • by jerry Location: manteo on May 3, 2010 at 11:00 AM
    Run for your lives!! Dr. Gray has spoken!
  • by Hatedumbpeople Location: gville on Apr 8, 2010 at 12:09 PM
    Prediction: Is a statement/claim that a particular event will occur in the future in more certain terms than a "forecast". Forecast: Estimate future trends by examing & analyzing available information.
  • by Obama Snake Oil Co Location: Washington on Apr 8, 2010 at 09:30 AM
    rusty shackelford, actually, its not water you need to put your waders on, you will need it for healthcare! They tell me its read deep!
  • by Mrs. OBXer Location: OBX - Hatteras on Apr 8, 2010 at 04:06 AM
    @ Hatteras from HI - good point, Neighbor!
  • by Mike Location: Edenton on Apr 8, 2010 at 03:15 AM
    When you predict this every year sooner or later you will be right. Jeane Dixon makes so many predictions she has to get a few right and the only time you hear of a prediction is when she was right, not the vast majority when she's wrong. How many major hurricanes last year after predictions like this? NONE! How many hit the U.S.? NONE! That is not to say we shouldn't be prepared, just that this guy gets paid for being wrong.
  • by rusty shackelford Location: Belhaven on Apr 7, 2010 at 09:20 PM
    well i just think i will go ahead and put my waders on so i will be ready for the high water. maybe it will push some crabs in the pungo river.
  • by sharon Location: greenville on Apr 7, 2010 at 05:21 PM
    isnt that what he says every year
  • by Hatteras Location: HI on Apr 7, 2010 at 04:46 PM
    I can't believe WITN or any news channel reports this as news. Why not post the Farmers Almanac as news.
  • by Mrs. OBXer Location: OBX on Apr 7, 2010 at 03:45 PM
    So typical. Then, some where about mid-July or August when we haven't gotten doodle squat, they'll adjust the numbers by half.
  • by Anonymous on Apr 7, 2010 at 02:53 PM
    So exact on how many and what strength, no info on exactly where they will go and how much damage will be done?
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