I have been reviewing numerous winter forecasts over the past month and few changes have developed so far. The Climate Prediction Center, the agency responsible for long-range forecasting from the National Weather Service, issued their updated forecast last week showing a near-normal winter for much of our area. The forecast has actually changed little over the past few months. Warmer than normal conditions are expected over much of the country west of the Mississippi River while the East Coast has near-normal temperatures and precipitation. Only Florida is expected to have below normal temperatures.
For eastern Carolina it means that winter high temperatures will average in the lower to middle 50s with lower to middle 30s at night. It will certainly feel colder than last year when temperatures ran about 4 to 5 degrees above normal. It was a snow-less winter as well. We should see a better chance of some snow this year with the colder temperatures.
I'll look at our prospects on winter again around the middle of next month.
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