A cold front will move through eastern Carolina Tuesday night and Wednesday bringing additional showers and thunderstorms. There is a slight risk of severe weather Tuesday afternoon, with damaging wind gusts and hail possible. Rainfall will average around 1 inch but several communities could receive 2 to 3 inches in locally heavy downpours associated with the storms. The showers will gradually taper off on Wednesday, with drier conditions expected for Thursday and Friday. Additional moisture will likely return by the weekend with a 40% to 50% risk of showers both Saturday and Sunday.
Temperatures will hit the lower 90s Tuesday then drop into the 80s for the end of the week and weekend. Overnight lows will remain in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
A moist, southwesterly flow aloft will keep eastern Carolina under the threat for shower activity as we move into the latter portion of July. Rainfall has already been above normal during the first half of the month so July will undoubtedly end up wet. Of course, most locations across our area average between 6 to 7 inches of rain in July. I think many communities will end up with well over 7 inches before the month ends.
The tropics should remain quiet this week. There are a couple of disturbances but there is little chance of significant development over the next 4 to 5 days. Certainly, I don't expect any threats across our area through the upcoming weekend.