The prolonged spell of wet weather across eastern North Carolina will finally change over the next few days. An extended period of drier weather will develop after a slight risk of a shower Thursday afternoon. The WITN Weather Station has received over 23 inches of rain so far this year, which is about 5 inches above normal. By last June we were already in an extensive drought.
The National Weather Service forecast for the summer months is for slightly above normal temperatures and near normal rainfall. I see no reason to deviate from that forecast. The weather pattern is noticeably different this year as compared to last. The Pacific Ocean patterns of La Nina and El Nino tend to have significant impact on our weather throughout the year. La Nina has had a strong influence on our pattern for almost two years. Now it appears we are moving to an El Nino pattern as we head deeper into the summer and fall. El Nino is associated with wetter conditions in the Southeast.
The good news is that our growing season will be much better with less likelihood of a significant drought. I do expect a few dry spells but showers should fall periodically throughout the summer season. The big question to be answered is whether we'll see a hurricane before the end of fall. We'll know the answer to that within the next six months.