It will be hot and humid across eastern Carolina through the upcoming weekend. Afternoon highs will hit the upper 80s to lower 90s while overnight lows will bottom out in the 70s. The hot and muggy conditions will lead to a few storms each day but most of the time will be free of rain. We could see some locally heavy rainfall in some locations. The overall pattern will change little as we head through the end of the week and weekend. A cold front will approach the region by late in the weekend but current indications point to the front stalling just to our north. The proximity of the front may lead to a slight increase in shower and thunderstorm activity by late in the weekend but probably not exceeding a 50% chance on any day.
The tropics remain quiet for now. Late June and July is typically not that active although a couple of storms could possibly develop. The main activity will hold off until August and September. The overall forecast calls for 15 to 20 named storms, of which 8 or 9 are expected to become hurricanes. We'll continue to monitor the tropical season over the next few weeks. The key for us will be the eventual development locations and movement.