A colder winter is likely on the way to eastern Carolina this year. Historically, the coldest months of the year are December, January and February. Last winter eastern Carolina averaged about 4 degrees above normal. It was largely controlled by a strong La Nina, which is colder water in the equatorial Pacific region. Water temperatures have changed this year with slightly warmer than normal conditions in the same area. This change will allow more troughing along the East Coast which should enable colder air to funnel southeast into our region from time to time. Another notable change this year is the increased snow cover over western Canada during November. The buildup of the snow pack will allow colder than normal air to settle over this region in late November and early December. At intervals these cold air masses will sink southeast into our part of the country. The primary storm track this winter will be along the East Coast. Coastal Carolina will largely see rain but there will be occasional threats for snow as the air should be cold enough as some of the storm systems move along or near the coast.
We'll know the answer in three months. Have a Happy Thanksgiving everyone.