As we've settled deeper into fall it appears that the unsettled weather pattern will not quit. After several dry years many of us have gotten out of the habit of taking our umbrellas when we leave for work every day. This fall and winter will undoubtedly be very different than the last few years. The heavy rainfall we've been seeing over the past few months is likely signaling the kind of winter we'll see this winter. El Nino has developed in the Pacific Ocean and those years tend to be wet in the Southeast. El Nino occurs when warmer than normal ocean water develops near the Equator in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean. The next question is how much cold air will be available for the precipitation this winter and whether it will snow. I'll be discussing that issue in the coming weeks.