Tropical activity is once again becoming quiet in the Atlantic Basin. We are now entering the most active portion of the tropical season. Eastern North Carolina typically sees more tropical storm and hurricane activity during the month of September than any other month. So far this year we've seen five named storms with only one, Bill, becoming a hurricane. The overall forecast would suggest we'd see three or four additional storms before the end of the season. El Nino and dry air over the Atlantic are contributing to a lower number season. El Nino, which is a warming of the Pacific Equatorial waters, occurs once every four or five years and tends to create significant wind shear in the Atlantic Ocean. We've seen that during this tropical season and it is expected to continue into the fall. Also, the tropical season typically ends earlier than usual during El Nino years. We'll know the answer to that during the next few weeks.
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