OUCH!!! Those were the words I screamed out loud as I looked at the radar on Friday afternoon. I along with the rest of the meteorologists here at the station was pumped about the biggest chance for rain we had seen in quite some time. All of the factors were there pointing to the chance for heavy rain and thunderstorms. However, in the end the drought got the upper hand. The rain diminished as it approached eastern Carolina, the skies cleared and the rain never came...what a disappointment.
But we should have seen it coming. Its happened before, and will happen again. Droughts have a funny way of holding on tight even when it really wants to rain, and the problem just builds on itself. When in a drought, the ground dries out. That means less moisture to evaporate into the atmosphere. That in turn means less rain. With less rain there is even less moisture in the ground and so on and so on, and the problem just gets worse and worse.
That is exactly what we saw happen on Friday and will likely see happen this week as well. On paper, the forecast looks good for rain later this week, and if we were not in a drought it would likely rain a lot. However, with the drought growing ever worse rain chances look minimal at best.
So how do we break this pattern of no rain? Well it usually takes one storm to break the pattern and just get the rain in here. After that we need repeated storms to bring more rain and moisten up the soil to keep the rain coming. When it does come though, it will take a long time. Our drought has gotten so bad now that one big storm will not fix the problem. We need several months of well above normal rainfall to catch-up and get our water levels back to normal. Unfortunately, that is not in sight anytime soon.
See you on TV,