All things considered eastern Carolina fared pretty well when it came to Hurricane Earl, it could have been much worse. First of all the computer models locked on to Earl's track several days before he paid a visit to eastern Carolina, keeping the storm off shore by only 100 miles or so. And wouldn't you know they were right. Thank goodness too. When I was consulting with Marvin before the storm, I was asking him if he really thought this storm was going to veer right before it got to us. He told me you have to put faith in the models, and good thing the hurricane models were correct. As many locals know, if you get on the right side of the hurricane, conditions are much worse. When Earl was only a couple hundred miles away and packing winds of 140 mph and looking like a buzz saw, I was thinking to myself, this baby better turn, and sure enough it did. A trough of low pressure from the west started to tug the system further to the north and then the northeast. Thankfully Earl weakened quite a bit by the time it got to Hatteras. It had plenty of warm water to splash around in, with water temperatures into the lower 80s. Water temperatures at 80 degrees or above will sustain a hurricane, not necessarily its intensity. Intensity forecasting is very hard to predict. But kudos to the models, they nailed it with Earl, and hopefully we'll be lucky again the next time. As of today (Sunday), nothing is threatening from the Tropics. The remnants of Gaston are floundering in the central Atlantic, with the next named system will be named Hermine. Unlike Fiona and Gaston, I don't think Hermine has any movie fame. As far as I know.
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